Will Taylor Swift win a Grammy at the 2027 Grammy Awards (Feb 7, 2027)?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick26.4%$0.26
- No73.7%$0.74
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Forecast reasoning
Taylor Swift has multiple eligible submissions for the 2027 Grammy Awards including "The Life of a Showgirl" album and singles like "The Fate of Ophelia," with a 92.6% predicted nomination probability for Record of the Year, but she has never won in the Record or Song categories despite 14 career Grammy wins. The 26% probability reflects her strong nomination chances offset by historical difficulty winning outside Album of the Year, where she holds the record with four wins.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Taylor Swift is announced as a winner of at least one Grammy Award at the 69th Annual Grammy Awards ceremony, held on February 7, 2027, with the award(s) presented strictly after 2026-10-25T16:31:51.188Z and at or before 2027-02-07T16:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if Taylor Swift is not announced as a winner of any Grammy Award at the 69th Annual Grammy Awards ceremony, held on February 7, 2027, within the same window. Clarifications: - A win counts whether it is presented during the Premiere (pre-telecast) Ceremony or the main televised ceremony; any Grammy Award category is eligible.
Feb 7, 2027, 8:00 AM UTC