Will Barcelona win their next match vs Real Madrid on Oct 25, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick60.8%$0.61
- No39.3%$0.39
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Forecast reasoning
Barcelona's 10-game winning streak and 6-point La Liga lead over Real Madrid drive this probability, though injuries to Dani Olmo and Eric García and defensive concerns with Jules Koundé offset their dominance. Real Madrid's missing Vinícius Júnior to suspension further weakens their chances in this Sunday match at Camp Nou.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Barcelona's final score is strictly greater than Real Madrid's final score in the LaLiga El Clásico match played at Spotify Camp Nou, with kickoff scheduled for 2026-10-25T20:00:00Z, and the final result is confirmed strictly after 2026-10-22T11:31:18Z and at or before 2026-10-26T05:00:00Z. - "No": Wins if the final score is a draw or Real Madrid's final score is strictly greater than Barcelona's in that same match, confirmed strictly after 2026-10-22T11:31:18Z and at or before 2026-10-26T05:00:00Z. Clarifications: - The result is determined by the score at the end of 90 minutes plus referee-added stoppage time (i.e., the official full-time result); extra time or penalty shootouts are not considered, as this is a regular-season LaLiga fixture. - If the match is postponed, abandoned, or cancelled such that no official full-time result is confirmed at or before 2026-10-26T05:00:00Z, neither outcome's condition is satisfied within the window.
Oct 25, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC