“Will USGS list ≥1 magnitude 6.0+ earthquake worldwide with origin time 00:00 UTC Nov 13 – before 00:00 UTC Nov 16, 2026? (Preferred magnitudes, FDSN catalog as of 12:00 UTC Nov 16)” on Delphi

Will USGS list ≥1 magnitude 6.0+ earthquake worldwide with origin time 00:00 UTC Nov 13 – before 00:00 UTC Nov 16, 2026? (Preferred magnitudes, FDSN catalog as of 12:00 UTC Nov 16)

WeatherForecast onlyLive data

Delphi’s forecast

Yes62.7%$0.63
No37.3%$0.37

Forecast only. Not tradable.

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Forecast reasoning

Three magnitude 6.0+ earthquakes occurred in early November 2026 (Nov 1, 5, and 9), but none have been recorded by USGS during the Nov 13–16 window as of Nov 15. Historical data shows roughly 150 such earthquakes annually worldwide, or about one every 2–3 days, supporting a 63% chance one occurs in the remaining 3-day period.