Will Mbappé score ≥1 goal vs FC Barcelona on Oct 25, 2026 (90 min + stoppage only)?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes54.0%$0.54
- No46.0%$0.46
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Forecast reasoning
Mbappé is confirmed in Real Madrid's squad and projected starting lineup for tomorrow's match at Barcelona, fully recovered from a late-September knee injury. He averages 1.2 goals per match against Barcelona and has scored in 4 of his last 6 La Liga matches against them, but Real Madrid will be missing key attacking players including suspended Vinicius Junior and injured Rodrygo.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Kylian Mbappé scores at least one goal for Real Madrid, credited during regulation time (minutes 1–90 plus referee-added stoppage time only, excluding extra time or penalty shootout), in the FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid LaLiga Matchday 10 match at Spotify Camp Nou, with a kick-off strictly after 2026-10-24T16:50:01.896Z and a verified final result at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if the match above is played and concludes with a verified final result at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00.000Z, and Mbappé is credited with zero goals during regulation time and stoppage time. Clarifications: - Own goals scored by FC Barcelona defenders are not credited to Mbappé; only goals officially attributed to Mbappé in the match record count. - If the match is postponed or abandoned before completion and no official result is declared within the window, neither criterion is satisfied by that match.
Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC