Will Mbappé score 2+ goals vs FC Barcelona on Oct 25, 2026 (90 min + stoppage only)?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes17.5%$0.18
- No82.5%$0.83
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Forecast reasoning
Mbappé averages 2.7 goals per match at Barcelona's stadium with a recent hat-trick there, but the 2+ threshold is difficult; he's recovered from knee injury and confirmed to start, yet Real Madrid may manage his minutes carefully after missing nearly two weeks.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Kylian Mbappé scores 2 or more goals for Real Madrid against FC Barcelona in the LaLiga Matchday 10 match at Spotify Camp Nou on 2026-10-25, counting only goals scored during regulation time (90 minutes plus referee-added stoppage time), with the match taking place strictly after 2026-10-24T14:56:17.332Z and completing at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if Mbappé scores 0 or 1 goals under the same conditions, or if the match is abandoned before 90 minutes of regulation are completed. Clarifications: - Goals scored during extra time or a penalty shootout do not count; only goals credited to Mbappé in regulation (90 min + stoppage time) are included. - If the match is postponed and does not kick off before 2026-10-26T04:00:00.000Z, "No" wins.
Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC