Will a Netanyahu-led Likud form a coalition government in the 26th Knesset?
PoliticsForecast onlyLive data
Delphi’s forecast
Since shared. Yes 20.8% → 17.3%, No 79.3% → 82.8%
- Yesyour pick17.3%$0.17
- No82.8%$0.83
Forecast only. Not tradable.
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Forecast reasoning
Netanyahu's bloc holds 53 seats versus the 61 needed for a majority, leaving him 8 seats short even with all his stated right-wing and religious partners. Opposition leaders and Avigdor Liberman have publicly rejected serving under Netanyahu, while analysts suggest a unity government with opposition leader Eisenkot as an alternative path forward over the next 89 days.