Will a Netanyahu-led Likud form a coalition government in the 26th Knesset?
PoliticsForecast onlyLive data
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick22.0%$0.22
- No78.0%$0.78
Forecast only. Not tradable.
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Forecast reasoning
Netanyahu's Likud fell short of the 61-seat majority needed to form a government in today's election, with preliminary forecasts showing only 53 seats and key potential coalition partners like Yisrael Beiteinu and Yashar explicitly ruling out joining a Netanyahu-led coalition. Ultra-Orthodox parties conditioned their participation on haredi conscription legislation that Netanyahu has resisted, while competing demands from other coalition partners over ministerial positions further complicate ...
