Predict something else

Will a Netanyahu-led Likud form a coalition government in the 26th Knesset?

PoliticsForecast onlyLive data

Delphi’s forecast

  • Yesyour pick22.0%$0.22
  • No78.0%$0.78
Forecast only. Not tradable.

This quote has expired. Ask again for a live price.

Forecast reasoning

Netanyahu's Likud fell short of the 61-seat majority needed to form a government in today's election, with preliminary forecasts showing only 53 seats and key potential coalition partners like Yisrael Beiteinu and Yashar explicitly ruling out joining a Netanyahu-led coalition. Ultra-Orthodox parties conditioned their participation on haredi conscription legislation that Netanyahu has resisted, while competing demands from other coalition partners over ministerial positions further complicate ...