Will Jude Bellingham have ≥2 shots on target vs FC Barcelona on Oct 25, 2026 (90 min + stoppage only)?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes29.3%$0.29
- No70.8%$0.71
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Forecast reasoning
Bellingham starts as an attacking midfielder (10) behind Mbappé in Real Madrid's 4-2-3-1 formation at Camp Nou, positioning him centrally for shot opportunities in a high-stakes El Clásico where Madrid averages 16.4 shots per game, but the 29% probability reflects that reaching 2+ shots on target is a demanding threshold for a midfielder even in an attacking role.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Jude Bellingham registers 2 or more shots on target against FC Barcelona in the match played strictly after 2026-10-24T21:29:11.099Z and at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00.000Z, counting only actions within the 90 minutes of regulation plus any referee-added stoppage time (i.e., excluding extra time and penalty shootouts). - "No": Wins if Jude Bellingham registers fewer than 2 shots on target against FC Barcelona in that same match, under the same time scope. Clarifications: - A shot is counted as "on target" if it is directed at goal and either results in a save by the goalkeeper or crosses the goal line (scores); shots blocked by outfield players, shots hitting the woodwork without crossing the line, and shots wide or over the bar do not count as on target. - If Jude Bellingham does not appear in the match (e.g., is absent from the squad, does not play any minutes, or the match is postponed or cancelled before completion), neither criterion above is satisfied; the match must be played to at least 90 minutes of regulation (plus stoppage time) for this market to resolve.
Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC