Will at least one Atlantic tropical cyclone be named by the US National Hurricane Center between October 3 and October 12, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick97.8%$0.98
- No2.3%$0.02
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Forecast reasoning
Hurricane Isaias was named by the National Hurricane Center on October 7, 2026, and remained active through October 10, 2026, falling entirely within the October 3-12 forecast period. The event has already occurred as of today, October 12, making resolution certain.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the US National Hurricane Center (NHC) officially names at least one Atlantic tropical cyclone strictly after 2026-10-02T23:00:00Z and at or before 2026-10-12T23:00:00Z, as evidenced by an NHC tropical cyclone advisory or public advisory issued within that window assigning a storm name from the 2026 Atlantic name list (or the supplemental list, if applicable). - "No": Wins if the NHC does not officially name any Atlantic tropical cyclone strictly after 2026-10-02T23:00:00Z and at or before 2026-10-12T23:00:00Z. Clarifications: - A cyclone is considered "named" at the date and time of the first NHC advisory that designates it as a tropical storm or higher (i.e., assigns it a name); subtropical storms named by NHC also count. The naming event must fall within the window defined above.
Oct 12, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC