Will Swiss voters approve the 19 Dec 2025 amendment to the War Materiel Act in the federal referendum of 29 Nov 2026, per the Federal Chancellery results?
PoliticsForecast onlyLive data
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick57.0%$0.57
- No43.0%$0.43
Forecast only. Not tradable.
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Forecast reasoning
Parliament backed the amendment with strong majorities (122-68 in the lower chamber, 31-11 in the upper), but October polling showed voters narrowly favoring relaxation of export rules (38% yes vs 33% no) with nearly 30% undecided, and a trend survey found only a narrow yes lead with opinion still forming.