Will Scotland beat North Macedonia in their UEFA Nations League match on Oct 3, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick52.0%$0.52
- No48.0%$0.48
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Forecast reasoning
Scotland are favored despite poor early form (1 point from 2 games) because they're significantly higher-ranked than North Macedonia, the group's lowest-ranked side, and have a historical advantage including a 2-1 win in their last meeting in 2013. Evidence of a 4-0 Scottish victory in one source suggests strong potential performance, though Scotland manager Pocognoli is still seeking his first win after draws and defeats.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Scotland's final score is strictly greater than North Macedonia's final score in the UEFA Nations League Group B1 match played at Toše Proeski Arena, Skopje, with a kick-off occurring strictly after 2026-10-02T21:40:51.035Z and at or before 2026-10-03T17:45:00.000Z (note: the match kicks off at 19:45 UTC, after market close — resolve using the official full-time result of that match once it concludes). - "No": Wins if Scotland's final score is equal to or less than North Macedonia's final score in the same match (i.e., a draw or a North Macedonia win). Clarifications: - The result is determined by the official full-time score (90 minutes plus referee-added stoppage time); extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded unless they form part of the official match result in this competition stage. - Because the match kick-off (19:45 UTC on 3 October 2026) falls after the market close time (17:45 UTC on 3 October 2026), the market closes before the outcome is knowable; settlement should use the official full-time result once the match concludes.
Oct 3, 2026, 5:45 PM UTC