“Will the UK have a new Prime Minister by June 2027?” on Delphi

Will the UK have a new Prime Minister by June 2027?

PoliticsForecast onlyLive data

Delphi’s forecast

Yesyour pick6.8%$0.07
No93.3%$0.93

Forecast only. Not tradable.

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Forecast reasoning

Andy Burnham became Prime Minister on 20 July 2026, before the June 2027 deadline, so "Yes" has already occurred; the 7% reflects only the small chance this fact is somehow reversed or the resolution criteria interpreted differently.