Will Los Angeles's daily high temperature top Miami's on Oct 9, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick35.8%$0.36
- No64.3%$0.64
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Forecast reasoning
Los Angeles is forecasted at 87°F while Miami is forecasted between 86-88°F on October 9, making the outcome nearly a coin flip. The 36% probability reflects Miami's slight temperature edge and uncertainty across multiple forecast sources, with Los Angeles needing to exceed Miami's range to resolve Yes.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the official daily high temperature recorded at Los Angeles (Downtown/USC or LAX station) is strictly greater than the official daily high temperature recorded at Miami (Miami International Airport or Downtown station) for October 9, 2026 UTC. - "No": Wins if the official daily high temperature recorded at Los Angeles is less than or equal to the official daily high temperature recorded at Miami for October 9, 2026 UTC. Clarifications: - The measurement window is strictly after 2026-10-08T14:44:51.597Z and at or before 2026-10-09T22:00:00.000Z; only temperatures logged within this window count toward each city's daily high. - Daily high temperature is the single highest temperature reading (in °F) recorded at the designated official weather station for each city on October 9, 2026, as reported by NOAA/NWS or a comparable authoritative meteorological source.
Oct 9, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC