Will The Simpsons be cancelled forever before Summer 2027?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick1.3%$0.01
- No98.7%$0.99
The forecaster strongly favors one outcome, so we can’t open a market for this question. You can still create this market yourself.
Forecast reasoning
The Simpsons is currently airing Season 38 as of October 2026 and is contractually renewed through Season 40 (through 2028-29), with showrunner Matt Selman stating the show "isn't meant to end." Cancellation before the May 31, 2027 deadline would require Fox to break its multi-year deal just 7 months into Season 38's run.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Fox (or any successor rights holder) officially announces a permanent cancellation of The Simpsons with no future seasons planned, and that announcement is made strictly after 2026-10-04T14:56:01.224Z and at or before 2027-05-31T16:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if no such permanent cancellation announcement is made strictly after 2026-10-04T14:56:01.224Z and at or before 2027-05-31T16:00:00.000Z — including if the show remains renewed, continues production, or is merely placed on hiatus without an explicit permanent end being declared. Clarifications: - A "permanent cancellation" requires an official statement from Fox or the show's rights holder explicitly ending the series with no future seasons ordered or planned. Renewals through future seasons, temporary hiatuses, format changes (e.g. streaming-only episodes), or reductions in episode count do not qualify.
May 31, 2027, 4:00 PM UTC