Will Yan Diomande (Real Madrid) get ≥1 assist vs FC Barcelona on Oct 25, 2026 (90 min + stoppage only)?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes17.5%$0.18
- No82.5%$0.83
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Forecast reasoning
Diomande starts for Real Madrid at left-wing with recent form showing assists in four consecutive matches, though 11footy's model projects only 11% assist probability for this specific match. Barcelona's high defensive line may create opportunities for his pace and darting runs, but the low base rate and defensive intensity of El Clasico keep the probability modest.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Yan Diomande is credited with at least 1 assist in the LaLiga match between FC Barcelona and Real Madrid played on October 25, 2026, strictly after 2026-10-24T21:23:58Z and with the official final result confirmed at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00Z, counting only actions occurring within the 90 minutes of regulation play plus referee-added stoppage time (i.e., excluding any extra time or penalty shootout). - "No": Wins if Yan Diomande is credited with zero assists under the same conditions, or if he does not appear in the match at all.
Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC