Will Mbappé score ≥1 goal vs FC Barcelona on Oct 25, 2026 (regular + stoppage time only)?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes51.5%$0.52
- No48.5%$0.49
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Forecast reasoning
Mbappé has scored 12 goals in 10 career matches against Barcelona and is expected to play after recovering from a left knee injury sustained September 25. The 52% probability reflects his elite historical record against this opponent balanced against uncertainty from his recent injury layoff.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Kylian Mbappé is officially credited with at least one goal scored during regular time or stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalty shootouts) of the FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid LaLiga match played strictly after 2026-10-24T21:24:26.417Z and at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if Mbappé is officially credited with zero goals during regular time and stoppage time of that same match, or if the match is confirmed abandoned or cancelled before completion such that no official result is issued within the same window. Clarifications: - Goals are counted as officially credited to Mbappé in the match record, regardless of how they were scored (e.g. deflections or touches resulting in attribution to him), but excluding any goals scored in extra time or a penalty shootout. If the match result is officially confirmed to have been abandoned or cancelled before full-time within the resolution window, "No" wins.
Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC
