Will it snow in New York City on Christmas Day (Dec 25, 2026)?
WeatherForecast onlyLive data
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick3.4%$0.03
- No96.6%$0.97
Forecast only. Not tradable.
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Forecast reasoning
The Old Farmer's Almanac forecasts dry conditions for NYC on Christmas, while a record-strength El Niño historically suppressed white Christmases in the city during five prior occurrences. NYC's baseline white Christmas odds are 5-12%, reduced further by the 2026 super El Niño pattern and above-average temperatures predicted for the winter season.