Will the ANC, EFF, and MK Party form a coalition in Johannesburg after the Nov 4, 2026 municipal elections?
PoliticsForecast onlyLive data
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes0.5%$0.00
- No99.5%$1.00
Forecast only. Not tradable.
The forecaster strongly favors one outcome, so we can’t open a market for this question. You can still create this market yourself.
Forecast reasoning
The ANC-EFF coalition that previously governed Johannesburg collapsed in February 2026 when the EFF exited, and recent polling shows ANC voters strongly reject the EFF (35.8%) as a coalition partner. While EFF leader Malema stated in April 2026 that an ANC-EFF-MK coalition is the only viable future, electoral analysts assess such a broad alliance would be hard to hold together, and the prior breakdown suggests deep incompatibility.