Will Saritha Komatireddy win the NY Attorney General election on Nov 3, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick0.6%$0.01
- No99.4%$0.99
The forecaster strongly favors one outcome, so we can’t open a market for this question. You can still create this market yourself.
Forecast reasoning
Incumbent Democrat Letitia James leads Republican Saritha Komatireddy by 13 points in the latest polling and holds a 52%-39% advantage with 10% undecided. Structural factors and prediction markets heavily favor James, with forecasters giving her near-certain odds and betting markets pricing her at 93%. The race closes in 12 days on November 3, 2026.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Saritha Komatireddy is declared the winner of the New York Attorney General general election held on November 3, 2026, with the result confirmed strictly after 2026-10-21T17:27:29.636Z and at or before 2026-11-03T13:00:00Z. - "No": Wins if Saritha Komatireddy is not declared the winner of the New York Attorney General general election held on November 3, 2026, within the same window — i.e., another candidate is declared the winner, or no winner has been declared by 2026-11-03T13:00:00Z.
Nov 3, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC