Will Lamine Yamal score 2+ goals for Barcelona vs Real Madrid on Oct 25, 2026 (regular time + stoppage time only)?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes14.8%$0.15
- No85.3%$0.85
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Forecast reasoning
Lamine Yamal has scored 8 goals in 9 La Liga games this season with 14 total goal involvements since late August, but scoring 2+ goals in a single match is rare even for in-form players, and the 2+ goal threshold is significantly harder to clear than his season average of 0.89 goals per game.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Lamine Yamal is officially credited with 2 or more goals for FC Barcelona in the LaLiga Matchday 10 match against Real Madrid at Spotify Camp Nou, strictly after 2026-10-24T15:02:21.573Z and at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00Z, counting only goals scored during regular time and stoppage time (i.e. excluding extra time and penalty shootouts). - "No": Wins if Lamine Yamal is officially credited with 0 or 1 goal for FC Barcelona under the same conditions and within the same window. Clarifications: - Goals are counted as recorded in the official LaLiga match report for the Barcelona vs Real Madrid fixture on October 25, 2026. Own goals scored by Real Madrid players do not count toward Yamal's tally. - If the match is postponed, abandoned, or not completed before 2026-10-26T04:00:00Z, neither condition can be verified within the window.
Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC
