Will there be a GitHub incident affecting Pull Requests by Oct 6, 2026 at 12:49 PM PDT?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick0.0%$0.00
- No100.0%$1.00
This one already has an answer, so there is no market to trade. The odds stand.
Forecast reasoning
This one already has an answer, so the agent’s reasoning is not shown.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if GitHub's official status page (githubstatus.com) records at least one incident explicitly affecting the Pull Requests component, with the incident starting strictly after 2026-10-06T18:49:39Z and at or before 2026-10-06T19:49:39Z. - "No": Wins if no such incident affecting the Pull Requests component is recorded on GitHub's official status page within the window defined in Clarifications. Clarifications: - The qualifying window is strictly after 2026-10-06T18:49:39Z and at or before 2026-10-06T19:49:39Z. An incident qualifies if it was opened (created or first posted) within this window and GitHub's status page explicitly lists "Pull Requests" as an affected component. Incidents that began before the window opened do not qualify, even if they remained active during the window.
Oct 6, 2026, 7:49 PM UTC