Will the new Toyota Fortuner be released in the USA by Dec 31, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick0.2%$0.00
- No99.8%$1.00
The forecaster strongly favors one outcome, so we can’t open a market for this question. You can still create this market yourself.
Forecast reasoning
Toyota explicitly excluded North America from the new Fortuner's release plan as of February 2026, with the global debut scheduled for late 2026 followed by rollouts across Asia, India, Middle East, and Latin America—but not the USA. The Fortuner has never been sold in America due to regulatory barriers, diesel-focused powertrain strategy misaligned with US preferences, and Toyota's strategic decision to serve this segment with the 4Runner and Land Cruiser instead.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Toyota officially releases (makes available for purchase or begins customer deliveries of) the new-generation Toyota Fortuner in the United States of America strictly after 2026-10-18T17:28:45.608Z and at or before 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if no such official US release or customer delivery of the new-generation Toyota Fortuner occurs strictly after 2026-10-18T17:28:45.608Z and at or before 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z. Clarifications: - "Released in the USA" means the vehicle is officially made available for retail purchase or customer delivery in the United States; a global reveal, concept unveil, auto show display, or announcement of future US availability without an accompanying on-sale date does not qualify. - "New-generation Toyota Fortuner" refers to the next-generation (third-generation) Fortuner model, distinct from the current second-generation model that has been on sale since 2015; a facelift or trim update to the existing generation does not qualify.
Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC