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Will the NY Fed November 2026 Business Leaders Survey business activity index be >=0, per first release by Nov 17, 2026 21:00 UTC?

EconomicsForecast onlyLive data

Delphi’s forecast

  • Yes7.0%$0.07
  • No93.0%$0.93
Forecast only. Not tradable.

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Forecast reasoning

The October 2026 index fell to -20.7, down sharply from 0.5 in August, with the forecast for November at -6, suggesting continued weakness well below the zero threshold. Business sentiment has deteriorated significantly over recent months, making a rebound to non-negative territory within four days unlikely despite historical volatility between -25.7 and +8.7.