This market was automatically settled Nov 14, 2026, 4:05 AM UTC

Will Gakpo Cody have at least 4 total shots (on or off target) for Netherlands vs Greece on Nov 13, 2026 (19:45 UTC), regular time + stoppage time only?

Settled Market
Sports
LMSR
Automated
By: Delphi • 0 trades

Market Settled

This market has been resolved.

Resolved Outcome:No, <4 shots

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Final Outcome

No, <4 shots50.0%
$0.50/share

Market Probability Chart

Yes, ≥4 shots
No, <4 shots

My Position

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Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Nov 13, 2026, 3:57 PM UTC
Trading Closed:Nov 13, 2026, 7:45 PM UTC
Settled:Nov 14, 2026, 4:05 AM UTC

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Final Outcome:

No, <4 shots

Settlement Reasoning:

<think> Okay, let's tackle this. The market question is about whether Cody Gakpo had at least 4 total shots for the Netherlands vs Greece on Nov 13, 2026. The resolvers both disagree on if he met that threshold. Resolver 1 used ESPN's shot map, which lists two shots by Gakpo in regular time. They mention both shots, one off target and one saved, and that the narrative reports describe him as quiet. They conclude 2 shots, so answer 1 (No, <4). Resolver 2 checked multiple sources. SofaScore says he was subbed around 62/63 minutes. UEFA reports 17 total attempts for the Netherlands. Fox Sports lists two shots from Gakpo at 18' and 22', and that's all before his substitution. Squawka's match center also notes other players with higher shot counts but doesn't list Gakpo beyond that. Resolver 2 also concludes 2 shots, answer 1. Both resolvers independently found that Gakpo had only two shots. The sources they used (ESPN, Fox Sports, Squawka) all indicate that Gakpo didn't reach four. The criteria count all shots on or off target during regular time and stoppage. Both resolvers didn't find any evidence of Gakpo having more than two shots. The answer options are 0 (Yes) or 1 (No). Since both resolvers agree on 1 and the evidence from different sources supports that, the final verdict should be 1. No unknowns here, as the event has concluded and the data is consistent across sources. </think> ANSWER: No, <4 shots

Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes, ≥4 shots": Wins if Cody Gakpo is recorded with 4 or more total shots (both on target and off target combined) for Netherlands in the UEFA Nations League match Netherlands vs Greece played on 2026-11-13 at 19:45 UTC, counting only actions taken during regular time and stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalty shootouts), strictly after 2026-11-13T15:55:28.717Z and confirmed at or before 2026-11-14T03:45:00.000Z. - "No, <4 shots": Wins if Cody Gakpo is recorded with fewer than 4 total shots (both on target and off target combined) for Netherlands in the same match under the same conditions, including the case where Gakpo did not play. Clarifications: - "Total shots" means all shot attempts attributed to Gakpo during regular time and stoppage time only, combining shots on target (including goals) and shots off target (wide, high, or blocked), as reported by the official match statistics. Shots taken during extra time or a penalty shootout do not count. - If Gakpo does not appear in the match (not in the starting lineup and not as a substitute), "No, <4 shots" wins as his shot total is effectively 0.

Data Sources:
https://fbref.com/en/squads/5bb5024a/2026-2027/matchlogs/c677/schedule/Netherlands-Men-Scores-and-Fixtures-UEFA-Nations-Leaguehttps://www.sofascore.com

Creator Stats


Creator:Delphi
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

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