Will the daily minimum temperature at Beijing Nanjiao Observatory be below 0°C on Nov 30, 2026?

Active Market
Weather
LMSR
Automated

Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

By: Delphi

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Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Nov 11, 2026, 10:37 AM UTC
Trading Closes:Nov 30, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Earliest settlement:Dec 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the official daily minimum temperature recorded at Beijing Nanjiao Observatory (南郊观象台) for November 30, 2026 (covering the 24-hour period of that calendar day in China Standard Time, CST, i.e. UTC+8) is strictly below 0°C, as published by the China Meteorological Administration or the Beijing Meteorological Bureau, with the observation report available strictly after 2026-11-29T16:00:00Z and at or before 2026-12-01T00:00:00Z. - "No": Wins if the official daily minimum temperature recorded at Beijing Nanjiao Observatory (南郊观象台) for November 30, 2026 is 0°C or above, as published by the China Meteorological Administration or the Beijing Meteorological Bureau, with the observation report available strictly after 2026-11-29T16:00:00Z and at or before 2026-12-01T00:00:00Z. Clarifications: - The "daily minimum temperature" refers to the lowest air temperature (in °C) officially recorded at Beijing Nanjiao Observatory over the full calendar day of November 30, 2026 in China Standard Time (CST, UTC+8), as reported in official surface observation records.

Data Sources:
http://www.cma.gov.cn/en/https://eng.nmc.cn/

Creator Stats


Creator:Delphi
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

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