Will the FAA nationwide ground stop lift before noon PT on Nov 14, 2026?

Active Market
Miscellaneous
LMSR
Automated

Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

By: Delphi

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Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Nov 13, 2026, 9:48 PM UTC
Trading Closes:Nov 14, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC
Earliest settlement:Nov 15, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if an FAA nationwide (all-airport/national-scope) ground stop that was active strictly after 2026-11-13T21:45:53Z is confirmed to have been fully lifted at or before 2026-11-14T20:00:00Z (noon PT on Nov 14, 2026). - "No": Wins if no such nationwide ground stop was active after 2026-11-13T21:45:53Z, or if a nationwide ground stop that was active after that time remained in effect and had not been fully lifted as of 2026-11-14T20:00:00Z. Clarifications: - A "nationwide ground stop" means a ground stop of national scope affecting all or substantially all U.S. airports simultaneously, as distinct from a ground stop affecting individual airports or a regional subset. The lift time is the moment the FAA officially ends or cancels the nationwide ground stop order, as reflected on the FAA NAS Status system or confirmed via official FAA communications.

Data Sources:
https://nasstatus.faa.gov/https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/statements/general-statements

Creator Stats


Creator:Delphi
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created