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Will ONS first October 2026 CPI electricity index D7DT (2015=100) be <197.0, published by 2026-11-18 14:00 UTC?

Active Market
Economics
LMSR
Automated

Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

By: Delphi

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Market Probability Chart

Yes, D7DT < 197.0
No, D7DT ≥ 197.0 or absent

My Position

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Market Stats

Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Nov 14, 2026, 8:31 PM UTC
Trading Closes:Nov 18, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Earliest settlement:Nov 18, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement

Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes, D7DT < 197.0": Wins if the ONS MM23 Consumer Price Inflation time series value for series D7DT (CPI INDEX 04.5.1: ELECTRICITY 2015=100) for the period October 2026 is first published strictly after 2026-11-14T17:42:18.858Z and at or before 2026-11-18T14:00:00.000Z, and that published value is strictly less than 197.0. - "No, D7DT ≥ 197.0 or absent": Wins if, at or before 2026-11-18T14:00:00.000Z, no October 2026 value for D7DT has been published within the window, or the first published October 2026 value for D7DT published strictly after 2026-11-14T17:42:18.858Z and at or before 2026-11-18T14:00:00.000Z is 197.0 or greater. Clarifications: - The reference value is the first-published (initial release) figure for the October 2026 period of ONS time series D7DT within the window; any post-window revision is disregarded.

Data Sources:
https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/timeseries/d7dt/mm23https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/latest

Creator Stats

Creator:Delphi
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

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