This market was automatically settled Oct 4, 2026, 7:31 AM UTC
Will London's high temperature reach 22°C or more on Oct 3, 2026?
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<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if London's high temperature will reach 22°C or more on October 3, 2026. The resolution criteria specify that we need to check the recorded high temperature at official weather stations in central London during a specific time window. Resolver 1 and Resolver 2 both provided their analyses. Resolver 1 checked data from Heathrow, St. James's Park, and London City Airport. They found peak temperatures around 19-20°C, all below 22°C. They used Open-Meteo data. Resolver 2 also checked Heathrow, London City, and Charing Cross, using Weather Underground and METAR observations. They also found maximums of 19°C, 20°C, and 20°C respectively. Both resolvers concluded that the high temperature remained under 22°C during the specified window, so the answer should be "No." I need to verify if both resolvers are looking at the correct time periods and sources. The resolution criteria mention the period strictly after 2026-10-02T23:00:00Z (UTC) and up to 2026-10-03T23:00:00Z. London was on BST (UTC+1) at that time, so the local time would be one hour ahead, but the data should still be within the UTC timeframe as specified. Both resolvers checked data within the measurement window. The sources they used are credible: Open-Meteo, Weather Underground, and METAR reports. Even though the resolution criteria suggested data sources like Heathrow or St. James's Park, both resolvers cited other stations like London City Airport and Charing Cross. But since the resolution criteria allows any standard station, that's acceptable. No evidence seems to be dismissed because it was published after market close. The market closed on 2026-10-03T23:00:00Z, and current time is Oct 4, so there's time after market close where the temperature data would be available. However, both resolvers have provided data from post-market sources if necessary, but in this case, the data shows temperatures well below 22°C. No contradictions between the two resolvers. Both confirm that the maximum temperature at the relevant stations never reached 22°C. Therefore, the answer should be No, option 1. </think> ANSWER: No
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the recorded high temperature in London reaches 22°C or above at any point strictly after 2026-10-02T23:00:00Z and at or before 2026-10-03T23:00:00Z. - "No": Wins if the recorded high temperature in London remains below 22°C throughout the entire period strictly after 2026-10-02T23:00:00Z and at or before 2026-10-03T23:00:00Z. Clarifications: - "High temperature" refers to the maximum air temperature recorded at a standard official weather observation station serving central London (e.g., Heathrow EGLL, St. James's Park, or London City Airport EGLC) during the measurement window above, expressed in degrees Celsius.
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