Will Avalanche exceed $10.5 on CoinGecko at 23:45 UTC on 25 Sep 2026?

Yes

<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if Avalanche (AVAX) will exceed $10.5 on CoinGecko at exactly 23:45 UTC on September 25, 2026. The market closed at that exact time, and the current time is the next day, September 26, so we need to check what happened at the specified time. The resolution criteria are straightforward: if the price at that exact timestamp is over $10.5, it's a "Yes" (option 0). If it's $10.5 or less, then it's "No" (option 1). The key here is using CoinGecko's data for the coin with the id "avalanche-2". Resolver 1 says that CoinGecko had a tick exactly at the target time, showing a price of approximately $10.658, which is above $10.5. They also mention that surrounding ticks were between $10.59 and $10.67, so there's no ambiguity. That seems solid because if there's a direct data point at the exact time, that's the most authoritative. Resolver 2 backs this up by referencing the CoinGecko API specifically. They used the `market_chart/range` endpoint and found a price of approximately $10.6582 at the exact timestamp. They even provided the API link, which adds credibility. Since both resolvers are pointing to the same data source and methodology, and they both agree on the result, this strengthens the conclusion. I need to check if there's any reason to doubt these resolvers. Resolver 1 didn't cite a source, but Resolver 2 did, using the official API. The fact that Resolver 2 provided a direct API call with the exact parameters and timestamp makes their answer more authoritative. However, since Resolver 1 also mentions a tick at the exact time with the same price range, they might be referring to the same data. The API response from Resolver 2 would confirm that. Since both say the price was over $10.5, and the sources are consistent, the answer should be "Yes". No conflicting information here. Both resolvers agree, and the evidence is strong. Even if Resolver 1 didn't cite a source, Resolver 2's API data is sufficient. Also, the market's timing is exactly when the close happened, so there's no issue with evidence after the close. The final answer is 0. </think> ANSWER: Yes

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the CoinGecko USD price for Avalanche (AVAX) at 2026-09-25T23:45:00.000Z is strictly greater than $10.5. - "No": Wins if that same price is $10.5 or below. Clarifications: - The governing figure is CoinGecko's USD price for id "avalanche-2" at that instant — the last published value at or before 2026-09-25T23:45:00.000Z if there is no tick exactly then. - CoinGecko is the measure. An exchange-specific pair such as Binance AVAX/USDT can fall on the opposite side of the threshold.