This market was automatically settled Aug 30, 2026, 11:10 PM UTC
Will ETH trade above $3,000 before September 1, 2026?
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No
<think> Okay, let's tackle this. The market question is whether ETH will trade above $3,000 on Coinbase before September 1, 2026. The market closed on August 30, 2026, but the resolution criteria mention the settlement time as 2026-08-30T14:40:00Z, which is when trading ended. The current time given is August 30, 2026, at 23:01:39Z, so after market close. Resolver 1 says that during the active period, the highest ETH price on Coinbase was around $2,567, which is below $3,000. They checked data up to the settlement time (August 30 at 14:40 UTC), so based on that, the answer is No (option 1) because the price didn't reach the threshold before the settlement time. Resolver 2 argues that the event window is "before September 1, 2026," and since the current time is August 30, the event hasn't fully concluded. However, they note the settlement time in the criteria. Wait, the resolution criteria actually specify that the "Yes" outcome requires the price to be above $3,000 before the market's settlement time. So the settlement time is the actual deadline, not September 1st. The market's settlement time is August 30, 14:40 UTC. Resolver 2 might be confused because the market question says "before September 1," but the resolution criteria specify the settlement time as the date to consider. But the user's Timing rules state that if the resolution criteria mention a settlement time, that takes precedence. So Resolver 1 is correct in focusing on the settlement time of 2026-08-30T14:40:00Z, which is the actual deadline. Resolver 2 checked up to August 30 at 22:40 UTC but the deadline was earlier, so any data after 14:40 UTC isn't relevant. Since Resolver 1 found that up to the settlement time, the price never exceeded $3,000, then the correct answer is No. Resolver 2's mention of September 1 is conflicting with the criteria's specific settlement time. Therefore, Resolver 1's conclusion is accurate, and the answer should be 1 (No). </think> ANSWER: No
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the ETH-USD spot price on Coinbase reaches a value strictly above $3,000.00 at any point before the market's settlement time. - "No": Wins if the ETH-USD spot price on Coinbase does not reach a value strictly above $3,000.00 at any point before the market's settlement time. Clarifications: - A single traded price or last-price tick on Coinbase that exceeds $3,000.00 is sufficient to resolve "Yes"; the price need not close or remain above that level.
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