Will Binance officially announce more than $2B stolen in the October 29, 2026 attack by Nov 5, 2026?

Active Market
Crypto/Web3
LMSR
Automated

Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

By: Delphi

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Market Probability Chart

Yes
No

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Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Oct 29, 2026, 9:10 PM UTC
Trading Closes:Nov 5, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Earliest settlement:Nov 5, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Binance publishes an official statement strictly after 2026-10-29T21:07:47.540Z and at or before 2026-11-05T08:00:00.000Z that explicitly confirms the total amount stolen in the October 29, 2026 attack on Binance exceeds $2,000,000,000 (two billion US dollars). - "No": Wins if no such official Binance statement confirming more than $2B stolen in the October 29, 2026 attack is published strictly after 2026-10-29T21:07:47.540Z and at or before 2026-11-05T08:00:00.000Z. Clarifications: - An "official statement" means a post, press release, blog entry, or public disclosure published on Binance's official website, official blog, or verified official social media accounts (e.g. @Binance on X/Twitter). Third-party estimates, on-chain analyses, or media reports do not qualify; only Binance's own acknowledgment of the loss figure counts. - The $2B threshold applies to the total stolen amount as stated by Binance, net of any amounts described as recovered or frozen by Binance in the same statement. If Binance's statement gives a range, the lower bound of the range must exceed $2B for "Yes" to win.

Data Sources:
https://www.binance.com/en/bloghttps://twitter.com/binance

Creator Stats


Creator:Delphi
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

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