Will the NY Fed November 2026 Empire State Manufacturing Survey general business conditions index (first release) be >= 0 by Nov 16, 2026 at 21:00 UTC?

Resolution criteria: - "Yes, index >= 0": Wins if the NY Fed Empire State Manufacturing Survey November 2026 general business conditions index (seasonally adjusted diffusion index), as published in the first/initial release on the Federal Reserve Bank of New York's official survey page strictly after 2026-11-13T14:48:22.237Z and at or before 2026-11-16T21:00:00.000Z, is greater than or equal to 0.0. - "No, index < 0 or absent": Wins if the November 2026 general business conditions index is published within the same window and its value is strictly less than 0.0, or if no first release of the November 2026 index is published within that window. Clarifications: - The measured value is the seasonally adjusted general business conditions diffusion index for November 2026 as it appears in the initial public release by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York; any subsequent revision does not affect settlement.