This market was automatically settled Sep 5, 2026, 4:31 AM UTC
Will WTI crude (CL=F) exceed $91.51/bbl on Yahoo's 4 Sep 2026 daily close?
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No
<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if WTI crude (CL=F) will exceed $91.51 per barrel on Yahoo's daily close for September 4, 2026. The resolution criteria are pretty clear: if the close is above $91.51, it's a "Yes" (option 0), otherwise "No" (option 1). Now, looking at the resolver reports. Both Resolver 1 and Resolver 2 are pointing to the same data point. Resolver 1 states that the close was $91.48, which is below the threshold. They used the yahoo_get_bars tool to fetch the data since the preferred URL wasn't accessible. Their reasoning is straightforward: the close price is under $91.51, so "No" wins. Resolver 2 mentions that they tried accessing the Yahoo endpoints but got rate-limited with HTTP 429 errors. However, they managed to retrieve the data through another method, stating the close was 91.4800033569336, which is still below $91.51. They also confirm that since the close isn't strictly greater than $91.51, the answer is "No." Wait, even though Resolver 2 faced some technical issues accessing the preferred endpoint, they still found a way to get the data. The exact close price they found is a bit more precise but still under the threshold. Both resolvers independently arrived at the same conclusion, which is a strong indicator. The key here is making sure that the data source aligns with the resolution criteria. Both mention using Yahoo's daily OHLC data for CL=F, specifically the close price for the correct date. The Clarifications in the resolution criteria mention converting the timestamp to America/New_York, but the resolvers have already handled that by specifying the correct date. No conflicting evidence. Both reports concur on the price being below $91.51. Even though Resolver 2 had to overcome a rate-limit issue, the answer remains the same. The market closes on September 4, 2026 at 20:00 UTC, but the event is the close on that day, which Yahoo's data confirms. The current time is September 5th, so the data should be available and settled. No ambiguous points here. The price is clearly under $91.51, so the answer should be "No." </think> Both resolvers report a Yahoo Finance daily Close price of **$91.48** for CL=F on 2026-09-04. This value is definitively **below** the $91.51 threshold required for the "Yes" outcome. Despite Resolver 2 encountering rate-limiting on Yahoo endpoints, their retrieved data directly confirms the Close price is not above $91.51. Resolver 1’s method (using `yahoo_get_bars`) and Resolver 2’s explicit retrieval from historical daily OHLC data align in finding the Close price on the correct date. The market therefore resolves "No." ANSWER: No
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Yahoo Finance's daily Close for WTI crude futures contract (CL=F), in USD per barrel, for the 4 Sep 2026 session is strictly greater than $91.51. - "No": Wins if that same daily Close is $91.51 or below. Clarifications: - The governing figure is the Close of the single row dated 4 Sep 2026 (America/New_York session date) in Yahoo Finance's US daily series for CL=F. In the chart JSON, convert each row's epoch timestamp to America/New_York and use the row whose converted date is 4 Sep 2026. - It is that dated row's Close — not a live quote, a "last price" or "prev close" header, a day-change figure, an intraday tick, or the Close of the session before or after it. - Yahoo Finance's US CL=F series is the measure. Spot, CFDs, ETFs, a different expiry, another publisher's price for the same commodity, and Yahoo's regional mirrors (ca., uk., de. and the like, which label rows by a different calendar) are different measures.
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