Will President Trump deliver a national address substantially focused on AI between September 14–18, 2026?

No

<think> Okay, let's walk through this step by step. The market question is whether President Trump delivered a national address focused on AI between September 14-18, 2026. Resolver 1 says No. They checked Trump's activities during that period. He made social media posts and had a press gaggle and a campaign rally, but none of these qualify as a formal national address. The resolution criteria specifically require a pre-announced, formal address broadcast nationally, which wasn't the case. They also looked at other possible events but found nothing before the window closed. Resolver 2 also concludes No. They cross-referenced the White House video library, remarks pages, and news coverage. None of the scheduled events on those dates were about AI. The only event was a healthcare announcement, a press gaggle, and a Rose Garden dinner. AP coverage mentions Trump addressed AI via social media but didn't give a formal speech. Both resolvers agree there's no evidence of the required address. Neither resolver found any qualifying events. Their sources like White House records and AP news back up the lack of a formal address. Since both agree and their evidence is solid, the answer should be No. </think> ANSWER: No

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if, between September 14 and September 18, 2026 (UTC), President Trump delivers a formal national address — broadcast live to a national audience via television, radio, or official White House video stream — in which artificial intelligence is the primary or predominant subject matter (i.e., the address is substantially and explicitly focused on AI policy, AI strategy, or related AI themes, not merely a passing mention of AI within a broader speech). - "No": Wins if no such address is delivered by the end of September 18, 2026 (UTC). Clarifications: - "National address" means a pre-announced, formal presidential address directed at the general American public in its entirety (e.g., an Oval Office address, a prime-time national speech, or an address to a joint session of Congress), and excludes press gaggles, interview remarks, campaign rallies, remarks at private events, or incidental public statements. - "Substantially focused on AI" means AI is the central, dominant topic of the address, rather than one of many comparably significant topics discussed.