Will it rain in Manila on Oct 26, 2026?

Active Market

Weather

LMSR

Automated

Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

By: Delphi

By: Delphi • Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

Place a Trade

Trading unavailable in your region

Trading is not available in your region. You can still request forecasts and review market data.

Market Probability Chart

Yes

My Position

No positions are open on this market.

Trade History

0 trades

Market Stats

Trading Fee:2.00%

Liquidity:$0.00

Volume:$0.00

Created:Oct 25, 2026, 2:54 PM UTC

Trading Closes:Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC

Earliest settlement:Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement

Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5

Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)

Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if a total precipitation of greater than 0.0 mm (0.00 in) is recorded in Manila, Philippines strictly after 2026-10-25T16:00:00Z and at or before 2026-10-27T00:00:00Z. - "No": Wins if the total precipitation recorded in Manila, Philippines during the same window is 0.0 mm (0.00 in) — i.e., no measurable rainfall is observed. Clarifications: - The measurement window spans strictly after 2026-10-25T16:00:00Z and at or before 2026-10-27T00:00:00Z. Any measurable precipitation (above trace, > 0.00 in) recorded at the Manila reference station during this window satisfies the "Yes" condition. - "Manila" refers to Manila, Philippines (Metro Manila area), not any other location of the same name. The primary reference station is Ninoy Aquino International Airport (IATA: MNL, ICAO: RPLL).

Data Sources:

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manilahttps://www.timeanddate.com/weather/philippines/manila/historic

Creator Stats

Creator:Delphi

Markets Created:0

Markets Settled:0

Total Volume (All Time):$0.00

Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created