Will Nvidia be a top 5 US market cap company at end of June 2027?

Active Market
Finance
LMSR
Automated

Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

By: Delphi

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Market Probability Chart

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Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Nov 12, 2026, 6:53 PM UTC
Trading Closes:Jul 1, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC
Earliest settlement:Jul 1, 2027, 8:00 AM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) ranks among the top 5 US-domiciled public companies by market capitalization at the market's settlement time, based on market cap data strictly after 2026-11-12T18:47:54.259Z and at or before 2027-07-01T08:00:00.000Z, using the last available closing market cap figure on or before 2027-07-01T00:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) ranks 6th or lower among US-domiciled public companies by market capitalization based on the same data window and closing figure. Clarifications: - Market capitalization rank is determined by each company's total equity market cap (share price × total shares outstanding) for US-domiciled public companies listed on major US exchanges (NYSE or NASDAQ), using the last regular-session closing price on or before 2027-07-01T00:00:00.000Z. Foreign-domiciled companies trading on US exchanges as ADRs (e.g., TSMC/TSM) are excluded from the ranking.

Data Sources:
https://www.nasdaq.comhttps://www.cnbc.com

Creator Stats


Creator:Delphi
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created