This market was automatically settled Oct 26, 2026, 4:05 AM UTC

Will Mbappé score 2+ goals vs FC Barcelona on Oct 25, 2026 (90 min + stoppage only)?

Settled Market
Sports
LMSR
Automated
By: Delphi • 0 trades

Market Settled

This market has been resolved.

Resolved Outcome:Yes

You did not have a position in this market.

Final Outcome

Yes50.0%
$0.50/share
No50.0%
$0.50/share

Market Probability Chart

Yes
No

My Position

No positions are open on this market.

Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Oct 24, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC
Trading Closed:Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC
Settled:Oct 26, 2026, 4:05 AM UTC

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Final Outcome:

Yes

Settlement Reasoning:

<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if Mbappé will score 2 or more goals for Real Madrid against FC Barcelona on October 25, 2026, considering only regulation time and stoppage. The resolution criteria are pretty specific, so I need to check if both resolvers have addressed all the conditions. Resolver 1 stated that multiple sources like ESPN and AP confirm that Mbappé scored two goals in the 41st and 87th minutes. Both are within regulation, and the final tally was confirmed by the deadline. The match details match the criteria, so they conclude "Yes" (option 0). Resolver 2 also went step-by-step. They cited Real Madrid's official report, ESPN, and FotMob. All these sources list two goals by Mbappé in the 41st and 88th minutes. Both resolvers mention the final score was Barcelona 1-2 Real Madrid, with both goals in regulation. All the conditions like the correct date, venue (Spotify Camp Nou), and the time of the match are met. Also, the final scores were confirmed before the 2026-10-26T04:00 deadline. I need to check if there's any conflicting info. Both resolvers agree on the number of goals, the timing, and the source credibility. The only possible discrepancy is the exact minute of the second goal (87th vs 88th), but that's minor and within acceptable stoppage time variations. All key points are in agreement. Since both resolvers have solid evidence from official and reputable sources, and their reasoning is sound, it's safe to go with their conclusion. No conflicting evidence presented, so the answer should be "Yes." </think> ANSWER: Yes

Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Kylian Mbappé scores 2 or more goals for Real Madrid against FC Barcelona in the LaLiga Matchday 10 match played at Spotify Camp Nou on October 25, 2026, with goals counted only from regulation time (90 minutes plus referee-added stoppage time), strictly after 2026-10-24T21:24:03.442Z and with the final tally confirmed at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if Kylian Mbappé scores 0 or 1 goal under those same conditions. Clarifications: - Only goals scored in the 90-minute regulation period plus referee-added stoppage time count; goals scored in extra time or a penalty shootout (if any were to occur) are excluded. - Own goals are not credited to Mbappé; only goals officially attributed to him by match authorities count toward the total.

Data Sources:
https://www.fotmob.com/matches/real-madrid-vs-barcelona/2grk20https://www.sofascore.com/football/match/barcelona-real-madrid

Creator Stats


Creator:Delphi
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created