Will Elon Musk's net worth cross $1,500 billion by end of 2026?

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Finance

LMSR

Automated

Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

By: Delphi

By: Delphi • Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

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Market Stats

Trading Fee:2.00%

Liquidity:$0.00

Volume:$0.00

Created:Oct 9, 2026, 10:29 AM UTC

Trading Closes:Dec 31, 2026, 6:30 PM UTC

Earliest settlement:Jan 1, 2027, 2:30 AM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement

Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5

Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)

Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the Bloomberg Billionaires Index net worth figure for Elon Musk reaches or exceeds $1,500 billion (i.e., $1.5 trillion) at any daily close strictly after 2026-10-09T10:27:48.383Z and at or before 2026-12-31T18:30:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if the Bloomberg Billionaires Index net worth figure for Elon Musk remains below $1,500 billion at every daily close strictly after 2026-10-09T10:27:48.383Z and at or before 2026-12-31T18:30:00.000Z. Clarifications: - The reference figure is the Bloomberg Billionaires Index end-of-trading-day net worth valuation for Elon Musk, as published on the index's profile page. The Forbes Real-Time Billionaires tracker may be used as a corroborating source where Bloomberg's figure is unavailable for a given date.

Data Sources:

https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/

Creator Stats

Creator:Delphi

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