Will Japan's national Oct 2026 CPI ex-fresh food (YoY) be >=2.5% in its first release by 2026-11-20 07:00 UTC?

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Economics
LMSR
Automated

Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

By: Delphi

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Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Nov 14, 2026, 8:31 PM UTC
Trading Closes:Nov 19, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Earliest settlement:Nov 20, 2026, 7:00 AM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the Japan Statistics Bureau's first official release of the national October 2026 CPI excluding fresh food (all items, less fresh food) year-on-year percentage change is 2.5% or higher, published strictly after 2026-11-14T18:24:15.637Z and at or before 2026-11-20T07:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if the Japan Statistics Bureau's first official release of the national October 2026 CPI excluding fresh food (all items, less fresh food) year-on-year percentage change is below 2.5%, published strictly after 2026-11-14T18:24:15.637Z and at or before 2026-11-20T07:00:00.000Z. Clarifications: - The figure used is the headline "all items, less fresh food" year-on-year percentage change as published in the Statistics Bureau of Japan's monthly CPI press release (national figures), rounded to one decimal place as reported. If no such release is published within the window, neither outcome is satisfied by this criterion.

Data Sources:
https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/index.htmlhttps://www.e-stat.go.jp/en/statistics/00200573

Creator Stats


Creator:Delphi
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Markets Settled:0
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Settle Percentage:0%

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