Will MAFF's weekly POS survey show rice above ¥2,788 per 5 kg for Oct 26 – Nov 1, 2026?

Active Market
Economics
LMSR
Automated

Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

By: 0x14c0...2956

Place a Trade

Trading unavailable in your region

Trading is not available in your region. You can still request forecasts and review market data.

Market Probability Chart

Yes
No

My Position

No positions are open on this market.

Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Nov 5, 2026, 5:44 PM UTC
Trading Closes:Nov 6, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Japan's agriculture ministry (MAFF) weekly supermarket POS survey figure labelled for the survey week 2026-10-26 to 2026-11-01 reports a national average rice price strictly above ¥2,788 per 5 kg. - "No": That same figure is ¥2,788 or lower. Clarifications: - Use the survey's headline national average price per 5 kg for all rice as published, not a single brand or a blended-rice category. - The figure must be the one explicitly identified as covering the survey week Mon 26 Oct – Sun 1 Nov 2026; MAFF publishes each Monday–Sunday week on the Friday after it ends (Japan time), and the ksppos.pdf file is overwritten with the newest week, so the survey week shown on the release must match.

Data Sources:
https://www.maff.go.jp/j/press/nousan/kokumotu/https://www.maff.go.jp/j/nousan/kokumotu/ksppos.pdf

Creator Stats


Creator:0x14c0...2956
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created