How late will train IC 542 (scheduled 20:58 CET) arrive at Brussels-Central on 2026-11-06?

Active Market
Miscellaneous
LMSR
Automated

Leading outcome: 20.0% • 0 trades

By: 0x3FC0...0CaE

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Market Probability Chart

Less than 15 min (on time or early)
15–29 min
30–44 min
45–59 min
60 min or more

My Position

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Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Nov 6, 2026, 6:33 PM UTC
Trading Closes:Nov 6, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC
Earliest settlement:Nov 6, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Less than 15 min (on time or early)": Wins if train IC 542 arrives at Brussels-Central on 2026-11-06 fewer than 15 minutes after its scheduled arrival time of 20:58 CET (i.e., actual arrival is at or before 21:12:59 CET), or arrives early. - "15–29 min": Wins if train IC 542 arrives at Brussels-Central on 2026-11-06 between 15 and 29 minutes (inclusive) after its scheduled arrival time of 20:58 CET (i.e., actual arrival between 21:13 and 21:27:59 CET). - "30–44 min": Wins if train IC 542 arrives at Brussels-Central on 2026-11-06 between 30 and 44 minutes (inclusive) after its scheduled arrival time of 20:58 CET (i.e., actual arrival between 21:28 and 21:42:59 CET). - "45–59 min": Wins if train IC 542 arrives at Brussels-Central on 2026-11-06 between 45 and 59 minutes (inclusive) after its scheduled arrival time of 20:58 CET (i.e., actual arrival between 21:43 and 21:57:59 CET). - "60 min or more": Wins if train IC 542 arrives at Brussels-Central on 2026-11-06 60 or more minutes after its scheduled arrival time of 20:58 CET (i.e., actual arrival at 22:58 CET or later), or if the train is cancelled and does not serve Brussels-Central at all on that date. Clarifications: - Delay is measured as the difference in whole minutes between the actual arrival time of IC 542 at Brussels-Central and the scheduled arrival time of 20:58 CET on 2026-11-06, as recorded in real-time SNCB/NMBS train tracking data. - If the train is cancelled or does not reach Brussels-Central, it is treated as arriving with a delay of 60 minutes or more.

Data Sources:
SNCB/NMBS Delay CertificateiRail API (api.irail.be)

Creator Stats


Creator:0x3FC0...0CaE
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created