Will USDA's 6 Nov 2026 Egg Markets Overview show a national avg conventional caged egg ad price above $1.42/dozen?

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Economics
LMSR
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By: 0x14c0...2956

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Trading Fee:2.00%
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Created:Nov 5, 2026, 5:43 PM UTC
Trading Closes:Nov 6, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

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AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": The USDA AMS weekly Egg Markets Overview edition dated 2026-11-06 reports a national average ad price for conventional caged eggs strictly above $1.42 per dozen (the figure in the 2026-10-30 edition was $1.42). - "No": That national average ad price is $1.42 or lower. Clarifications: - The relevant figure is the "national average ad price" for conventional caged eggs in the retail/advertised-price section, not cage-free, organic, specialty, or wholesale prices. - Only the edition dated 2026-11-06 counts; figures from the 2026-10-30 or any other edition do not. - All times are UTC.

Data Sources:
https://www.ams.usda.gov/market-news/egg-market-news-reportshttps://www.ams.usda.gov/mnreports/ams_3725.pdf

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