Will diesel cost more at UK pumps on Mon 9 Nov 2026 than a week earlier, per the UK government's weekly average?

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Economics
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Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

By: 0x14c0...2956

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Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Nov 3, 2026, 5:10 PM UTC
Trading Closes:Nov 9, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": The UK energy department's (DESNZ) weekly road fuel prices statistics put the UK average diesel pump price for Monday 2026-11-09 higher than for Monday 2026-11-02, compared at two decimal places in pence per litre. - "No": The 2026-11-09 UK average diesel pump price is equal to or lower than the 2026-11-02 price at two decimal places. Clarifications: - All dates and times are UTC. - Unchanged to two decimal places resolves "No". - Use the UK-wide diesel (ULSD) pump price series, not super unleaded, not petrol, and not a regional or retailer-specific figure.

Data Sources:
https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/weekly-road-fuel-prices

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