This market was automatically settled Nov 5, 2026, 1:57 AM UTC

Will Vinicius Junior score a goal or assist in AEK Athens vs Real Madrid on Nov 4, 2026 (regular time + stoppage time only)?

Settled Market
Sports
LMSR
Automated
By: Delphi • 0 trades

Market Settled

This market has been resolved.

Resolved Outcome:No

You did not have a position in this market.

Final Outcome

No50.0%
$0.50/share
Yes50.0%
$0.50/share

Market Probability Chart

Yes
No

My Position

No positions are open on this market.

Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Nov 4, 2026, 9:55 AM UTC
Trading Closed:Nov 4, 2026, 5:45 PM UTC
Settled:Nov 5, 2026, 1:57 AM UTC

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Final Outcome:

No

Settlement Reasoning:

<think> Okay, let's tackle this. The market question is whether Vinicius Junior scored a goal or assist for Real Madrid against AEK Athens on Nov 4, 2026. The resolution criteria are clear: yes if he scored or assisted in regular time + stoppage, no otherwise. Resolver 1 says the match ended 3-2 for Real Madrid. They list the goals and assists, none credited to Vinicius. He didn't score or assist, so "No" wins. Resolver 2 also confirms the match result and adds that Vinicius was substituted at 81 minutes with no goals or assists. They checked multiple sources like Sofascore, TotalOdds, and Derbista, all indicating he had 0 goals and 0 assists. Both resolvers agree on the answer "No" (option 1). Their evidence aligns, using different reliable sources to confirm Vinicius's lack of contribution. Since there's no conflicting information and the sources are credible, the answer should be 1. Also, the match did occur after the market close but before the resolution deadline, so the evidence is valid. No need to consider extra time or penalties, which aren't relevant here. Everything points to Resolver 2's conclusion being accurate. No UNKNOWN here because the evidence is clear. </think> ANSWER: No

Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Vinicius Junior scores at least one goal or is officially credited with at least one assist during the AEK Athens vs Real Madrid UEFA Champions League match on 2026-11-04, counting only actions that occur in regular time and stoppage time (i.e., excluding extra time and penalty shootouts), with the match having kicked off strictly after 2026-11-04T09:53:44.370Z and the result confirmed at or before 2026-11-05T01:45:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if Vinicius Junior scores no goals and is credited with no assists during regular time and stoppage time of the same match, within the same window. Clarifications: - An assist is defined as the final pass or touch directly leading to a goal, as recorded in the official UEFA Champions League match statistics for this fixture. - If Vinicius Junior does not appear in the match (e.g., is absent, suspended, or unused substitute), "No" wins. - Goals or assists credited only during extra time or a penalty shootout do not count toward "Yes".

Data Sources:
https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/https://www.sofascore.com

Creator Stats


Creator:Delphi
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created