Will Bitcoin exceed $85,500 on CoinGecko at 23:45 UTC on 30 Sep 2026?

No

<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if Bitcoin will exceed $85,500 on CoinGecko at 23:45 UTC on September 30, 2026. The market closed at that exact time, so we need to check the price at that specific timestamp. Resolver 1 says that CoinGecko has a data point exactly at 2026-09-30T23:45:00Z, which is the governing price. They state that the price was $83,584.75, which is below $85,500, so the answer is No. Resolver 2 also checked the same timestamp. They mention the same data point and the same price, $83,584.75047815069, using the CoinGecko API. Since that's still under $85,500, their conclusion is also No. Both resolvers agree that the exact timestamp's price is below the threshold. The resolution criteria specify that if there's a data point at the exact time, that's the one to use. Neither resolver found any conflicting information or missing data that would make the price uncertain. They both used authoritative sources (CoinGecko's API) and got the same result. No other evidence is needed because the exact time's price is available and clearly below the target. The market closed at that time, but the event (checking the price) happens at that moment, so the data is valid. Since both resolvers concur and the data is consistent, the answer should be "No". </think> ANSWER: No

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the governing CoinGecko USD price for Bitcoin (BTC) for 2026-09-30T23:45:00.000Z UTC is strictly greater than $85,500. - "No": Wins if that same governing price is $85,500 or below. Clarifications: - The governing figure is CoinGecko's USD price for coin id "bitcoin". If CoinGecko's series contains a data point exactly at 2026-09-30T23:45:00.000Z UTC, that point governs. Otherwise the governing figure is the last CoinGecko data point timestamped at or before 2026-09-30T23:45:00.000Z UTC within the queried window beginning 2026-09-30T22:45:00.000Z UTC — so if CoinGecko serves only hourly history for that past window, the 2026-09-30T23:00:00.000Z UTC point is the governing figure. - CoinGecko is the measure. An exchange-specific pair such as Binance BTC/USDT can fall on the opposite side of the threshold and does not govern.