Will the UK Autumn Budget 2026 include an increase to Capital Gains Tax (CGT)?
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Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the UK Autumn Budget 2026 (delivered on 28 October 2026) explicitly announces an increase to Capital Gains Tax — whether to one or more CGT rates, the annual exempt amount reduction that raises effective CGT liability, or an equivalent structural change that increases the CGT burden — as confirmed in the official HM Treasury Budget document or accompanying tax-measure notes published on GOV.UK on Budget day. - "No": Wins if the official HM Treasury Budget document and accompanying tax-measure notes published on GOV.UK on 28 October 2026 contain no announcement of an increase to Capital Gains Tax rates or any equivalent structural change that raises the CGT burden. Clarifications: - A CGT "increase" means any upward change to the headline CGT rates (basic, higher, or additional rate) applicable to any asset class, or any legislative change that directly increases the effective CGT charge on gains. Reductions to the annual exempt amount that were already legislated before Budget day, and changes to other taxes, do not count.
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