This market was automatically settled Sep 3, 2026, 8:06 AM UTC
Will Avalanche exceed $7.15 on CoinGecko at 23:45 UTC on 2 Sep 2026?
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Yes
<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if Avalanche (AVAX) will exceed $7.15 on CoinGecko at exactly 23:45 UTC on September 2, 2026. The resolution criteria are pretty straightforward: if the price is strictly above $7.15 at that exact time, it's a "Yes," otherwise "No." Now, there are two resolver reports here. Both resolvers are saying "Yes" because they found the price at that specific timestamp. Resolver 1 states the price was $7.1617 at 23:45:00 UTC, which is over $7.15. They also mention that surrounding ticks in that time frame were in the $7.16 range, so even if there were no exact data point, the last published value before or at that time would still be above 7.15. Resolver 2 provides a more precise figure: $7.161665060381814, which is also over $7.15, and they reference the exact timestamp from the CoinGecko API. Both resolvers are using CoinGecko's data, which aligns with the resolution criteria's requirement. I need to check if there's any contradiction or issue with their findings. Both report the same time, 23:45:00Z, and both state the price is above 7.15. The market closes at exactly 23:45, and the current time is the next day, so there's enough time after the market close for the data to be available. The resolvers used the exact timestamp as per CoinGecko's data, which is the required source. No conflicts here. The price at the exact time is over the threshold. The resolvers used the correct data source and interpreted the criteria correctly. No mention of a tie-breaker source since the named source (CoinGecko) is the one used. They even mention the specific coin ID (avalanche-2), which is important for accuracy. Since both agree and the evidence is solid, the answer should be 0 (Yes). </think> ANSWER: Yes
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the CoinGecko USD price for Avalanche (AVAX) at 2026-09-02T23:45:00.000Z is strictly greater than $7.15. - "No": Wins if that same price is $7.15 or below. Clarifications: - The governing figure is CoinGecko's USD price for id "avalanche-2" at that instant — the last published value at or before 2026-09-02T23:45:00.000Z if there is no tick exactly then, even if that value is timestamped up to an hour earlier. - CoinGecko is the measure. An exchange-specific pair such as Binance AVAX/USDT can fall on the opposite side of the threshold.
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