This market was automatically settled Oct 17, 2026, 1:34 AM UTC
Will Gold (GCZ26.CMX) exceed $4,169/oz on Yahoo's 16 Oct 2026 daily close?
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Yes
<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if Gold (GCZ26.CMX) will exceed $4,169 per ounce on Yahoo's daily close for October 16, 2026. The market closed on October 16, 2026 at 17:30 UTC, but the current time is October 17, 01:33 UTC. First, I need to check the resolution criteria. The "Yes" outcome is if the daily close on Yahoo Finance for that specific date (16 Oct 2026, America/New_York session date) is strictly greater than $4,169. The "No" outcome is if it's $4,169 or below. The clarifications emphasize that it's the Close of the exact row dated 16 Oct 2026, and not other metrics like live quotes or different expiries. Resolver 1 states that the close was $4,186.70, which is over the threshold. They provided the Open, High, Low, and Close from the daily row for that date. Resolver 2 also found the close of $4,186.70 and another source with a slightly more precise number (4186.7001953125) but confirmed it's still above $4,169. Both resolvers used Yahoo Finance as the source, which matches the criteria. Since the specified date is 16 Oct 2026 in the America/New_York timezone, I need to ensure that the data corresponds correctly. The market close timestamp is in UTC, but the clarification refers to the New_York session. However, since the data from Yahoo for that specific date's row is what's required, and both resolvers found that, there's no timezone confusion here. There's a slight discrepancy in the numbers: Resolver 1 says 4186.70, and Resolver 2 mentions 4186.7001953125. But this is likely due to different sources or data representations. The key point is both agree that the close is above $4,169. No evidence is dismissed for timing issues. Both reports come from valid sources as per the criteria, and the market didn't reject any evidence after market close. The event was resolved based on the correct data source. Since both resolvers independently confirm the same value exceeding the threshold, and there's no conflicting information or reason to distrust either resolver, the answer should be "Yes." Any slight variations in the decimal points don't affect the comparison with the $4,169 threshold. </think> ANSWER: Yes
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Yahoo Finance's daily Close for Gold futures contract (GCZ26.CMX), in USD per troy ounce, for the 16 Oct 2026 session is strictly greater than $4,169. - "No": Wins if that same daily Close is $4,169 or below. Clarifications: - The governing figure is the Close of the single row dated 16 Oct 2026 (America/New_York session date) in Yahoo Finance's US daily series for GCZ26.CMX. In the chart JSON that is the row whose timestamp falls on 16 Oct 2026. - It is that dated row's Close — not a live quote, a "last price" or "prev close" header, a day-change figure, an intraday tick, or the Close of the session before or after it. - Yahoo Finance's US GCZ26.CMX series is the measure. Spot, CFDs, ETFs, a different expiry, another publisher's price for the same commodity, and Yahoo's regional mirrors (ca., uk., de. and the like, which label rows by a different calendar) are different measures.
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