This market was automatically settled Nov 5, 2026, 1:56 AM UTC

Will Mbappé score 2+ goals vs AEK Athens on Nov 4, 2026 (reg. time + stoppage only)?

Settled Market
Sports
LMSR
Automated
By: Delphi • 0 trades

Market Settled

This market has been resolved.

Resolved Outcome:No

You did not have a position in this market.

Final Outcome

No50.0%
$0.50/share
Yes50.0%
$0.50/share

Market Probability Chart

Yes
No

My Position

No positions are open on this market.

Market Stats


Trading Fee:2.00%
Liquidity:$0.00
Volume:$0.00
Created:Nov 4, 2026, 9:52 AM UTC
Trading Closed:Nov 4, 2026, 5:45 PM UTC
Settled:Nov 5, 2026, 1:56 AM UTC

AI Settlement


Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5
Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)
Final Outcome:

No

Settlement Reasoning:

<think> Okay, let's tackle this. The market question is whether Mbappé scored 2+ goals for Real Madrid against AEK Athens on Nov 4, 2026, considering only regulation time and stoppage time. First, I need to check the resolution criteria. The "Yes" case is if he scored 2 or more goals in that window, and "No" if 0 or 1, or the match didn't happen on time. The match must be between Real Madrid and AEK Athens, played after the specific timestamp but before 2026-11-05T01:45. Looking at the resolvers: Resolver 1 says the match took place on Nov 4. The BBC lists goals: Bellingham, Mbappé, Valverde. Mbappé scored once. He had chances but missed a second goal. Therefore, answer 1 (No). Resolver 2 confirms the match was within the window, same goals mentioned (1 by Mbappé). They reference BBC, Real Madrid's report, ESPN, and UEFA. All sources agree on one goal for Mbappé. So, answer 1. Both resolvers agree. They used different credible sources: BBC, ESPN, Real Madrid's report, UEFA. All indicate Mbappé scored only once. The match did occur within the specified time frame. So the answer is No. No unknowns here. The market should resolve as 1. </think> ANSWER: No

Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Kylian Mbappé scores 2 or more goals credited during regulation time and stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalty shootout) in the match between Real Madrid and AEK Athens played strictly after 2026-11-04T09:47:38.832Z and at or before 2026-11-05T01:45:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if Mbappé scores 0 or 1 goal credited during regulation time and stoppage time in that same match, or if the match does not take place within the window. Clarifications: - Goals counted are only those officially attributed to Mbappé in the final match record for regulation time (90 minutes) and any added stoppage time; own goals, extra time, and penalty shootout goals are excluded.

Data Sources:
https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/news/02a8-2174c9e9019d-f909a77bd77a-1000--2026-27-champions-league-all-the-league-phase-fixtures-a/

Creator Stats


Creator:Delphi
Markets Created:0
Markets Settled:0
Total Volume (All Time):$0.00
Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created