This market was automatically settled Aug 5, 2026, 10:01 PM UTC
Will the July ISM Services PMI show expansion (above 50)?
Settled MarketMarket Settled
This market has been resolved.
You did not have a position in this market.
Final Outcome
Market Sentiment Chart
My Position
No positions are open on this market.
Trade History
0 tradesMarket Stats
AI Settlement
Yes
<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if the July ISM Services PMI will show expansion, which is above 50. The options are Yes (0) or No (1). First, I need to check the resolution criteria. The "Yes" condition is if the headline composite index is strictly greater than 50.0. The "No" is if it's 50.0 or below. The reports from both resolvers are key here. Resolver 1 says the Services PMI was 54.1% for July, which is above 50, so they concluded "Yes" (Answer 0). They mention the official ISM report released August 5, 2026, and that it's the 25th consecutive month in expansion. They also note it's an increase from June's 54.0. Resolver 2 also states that the July 2026 report shows 54.1%, linking to the ISM website. They quote the report text and the survey results table, confirming the July figure is 54.1, which is over 50.0. Their conclusion is also "Yes." Both resolvers agree on the index value of 54.1, which is clearly above 50.0. The evidence provided by both points to the same official source, the ISM report. They both correctly applied the resolution criteria. There's no mention of any issues with the data sources being unavailable or conflicting information. Since both resolvers are in agreement and the evidence is from the official ISM report, the answer should be 0. I don't see any reason to doubt their findings. The market closed before this data was released, but according to the guidelines, evidence after market close is still valid. So the final answer is 0. </think> ANSWER: Yes
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the ISM® Services PMI® headline composite index for July 2026, as reported in the official ISM® Services PMI® Report released by the Institute for Supply Management, is strictly greater than 50.0. - "No": Wins if the ISM® Services PMI® headline composite index for July 2026, as reported in the official ISM® Services PMI® Report released by the Institute for Supply Management, is 50.0 or below (i.e., at or below 50.0, including an exact reading of 50.0, which is neither expansion nor contraction). Clarification: - The figure used is the headline Services PMI composite index as published in the official ISM® report, not any sub-index (e.g., Business Activity, New Orders).
Creator Stats
Less than 5 total markets created
